Commodity markets have spent the past three months performing an extraordinary balancing act. Despite one of the most significant disruptions to global energy flows in decades, the global economy has continued to function remarkably smoothly. After an initial spike, prices for several key commoditie…

The Iran war suddenly turned what had started as a year of oversupply in global oil and LNG markets into the worst oil and gas supply disruption in history. Three months after the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran began on February 28, the world has already lost 1 billion barrels of crude oil supply, oil and gas prices have found a new, much higher floor, and whipsaw with violent volatility nearly every day, trade routes have shifted, and tanker rates have spiked. Actual supply shortages are emerging in Asia, while global crude and fuel inventories…